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Josh Hart

Josh Hart Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2025

New York Knicks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Josh Hart measures in the 78th percentile, totaling a monstrous 14.2 points per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Hart comes in at the 91st percentile for field goal effectiveness with a very good 57.5% rate this year.

Josh Hart has played 36.9 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Knicks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Josh Hart ought to see a rise in effectiveness across the board due to possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Hart has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.

The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shots from the field (3rd-weakest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making this a challenging matchup.

The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.

The New York Knicks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves).

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