Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has converted 57.6% of his shots from the field while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
Josh Hart has attempted 5.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Josh Hart has tallied 37.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have scored 18.9 points per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Magic, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's committed in all games this year at home.
The 7th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Knicks.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Knicks.
With respect to drawing fouls, the New York Knicks's unimpressive 20.9 foul shot attempts per game settles in as the 9th-worst in the NBA this year.

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