Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-124/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has successfully made 59.8% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
Josh Hart has made 47.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 10.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Hart registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 37.5 minutes per game this year.
In terms of shooting, the Knicks's stellar 123.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New York Knicks.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.
The New York Knicks have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
Josh Hart will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production for all stats.

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