Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 10/30/2024

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Oct 30, 2024

Updated Oct 30, 2024 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has averaged 33.1 minutes per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 88th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for field goal attempts; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.2).
The Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Hart rates in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.2 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Knicks rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season in terms of field goals.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the New York Knicks.
Josh Hart stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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