Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2024

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers · May 6, 2024

Updated May 6, 2024 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-111/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has attempted 13.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Josh Hart has made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year.
Josh Hart has averaged 47.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Knicks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Knicks have been the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.9).
The slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Knicks.
The New York Knicks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 8th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Indiana Pacers).

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