Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Brooklyn Nets · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 11:47 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has converted 58.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 28.8% higher than he's converted from three overall this year.
Josh Hart has played 39.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.8 more than he's played overall this year.
The Knicks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Hart has sunk 94.1% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 12.2% more than he's converted in all games this year.
Josh Hart ought to see an increase in output across the board due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up 11.4 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive performance.
The Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the New York Knicks.
As a team, the Knicks have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: 7th-worst in the league over the last 20 games, totaling a mere 18.1 free throws per game.
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game this year when the Nets are on the road (least in the league).

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