Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 10:42 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has tallied 39.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one for threes; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 7th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.8).
The New York Knicks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Knicks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Hart has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 10.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing on the road.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has sunk a lowly 28.3% of his shots from downtown this year, quite a bit less than his 38.4 rate last year.
The New York Knicks have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Knicks.
Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Josh Hart will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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