Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has attempted 11.0 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Josh Hart has tallied 40.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.9 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The matchup against Miami is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the highest three rate in the league this year (46.4%).
The New York Knicks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 38.4% mark, Josh Hart's 3-point efficiency has fallen this season to 28.3%.
Josh Hart has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Knicks.
The Knicks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
The matchup against the Heat may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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