Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 1:42 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has averaged 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a positive one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the New York Knicks.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks rank 7thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 15.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Josh Hart has sunk 93.8% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 8.0% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has successfully made a lowly 41.1% of his field goal attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 52.8 rate last season.
Josh Hart has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
With respect to shooting, the New York Knicks's feeble 114.7 points per game at home rates 10th-fewest in the league this year.
The most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Knicks.
Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers (retaining possessions that can spark extra chances for offense).

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