Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New York Knicks.
The New York Knicks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Bulls have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Hart stands to see an increase in performance in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this season at home.
The Knicks rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.
This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have averaged 15.2 three-pointers per game (highest in the NBA) against the Chicago Bulls, creating a good matchup.
The Bulls have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New York Knicks.
Josh Hart has attempted just 0.8 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 2.3 mark last year.

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