Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Knicks.
The Knicks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic).
The Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Hart has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.3 more than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.
When it comes to offense, the Knicks's feeble 46.7% field goal rate places 9th-fewest in the league this year.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has shot 39.9% on three-pointers (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, making this a favorable matchup.
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; when the Orlando Magic are at home, opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 26.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games (most in the NBA).
Josh Hart will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces stat production across the board.