Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 11:13 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has tallied just 1.7 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 2.7 fouls per game last year.
This matchup is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Phoenix Suns are at home, opposing teams have compiled the 2nd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA against them this year (44.8%).
The Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Hart will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has converted a measly 42.7% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 52.8 mark last season.
Compared to last year's 38.4% rate, Josh Hart's three-point efficiency has tailed off this year to 28.0%.
The Knicks have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The New York Knicks are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Suns).

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