Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing clubs have totaled 96.8 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.
The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted just 19.3 free throws per game when the Minnesota Timberwolves are away from home this year (4th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 52.8% clip, Josh Hart's scoring ability has decreased this year to 42.4%.
Josh Hart has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.6 fouls per game last season.
The Knicks have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The least up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.
This year, opposing teams have come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (lengthening possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).

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