Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has converted 51.6% of his shots from the field on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-speediest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Spurs).
The Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).
Josh Hart has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% higher than he's made overall this season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Hart rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Knicks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing clubs have notched 123.3 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, making this a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league playing at home this year.

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