Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · May 10, 2023

Updated May 10, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has attempted 10.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 3.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
Josh Hart has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a measly 21.2 foul shots per game this year (4th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed in all games this season.
The New York Knicks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This matchup is a strong one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (13.0).
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Knicks.

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