Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 23, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 4:36 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has converted 54.0% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
Josh Hart has converted 56.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 15.7% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (24th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.8).
The New York Knicks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Knicks.
Josh Hart has attempted a measly 2.3 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.9 rate last year.