Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has successfully made 60.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 20.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Josh Hart has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The matchup vs. Indiana is a good one for three-pointers; when the Pacers have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have put up the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (40.4%).
The Pacers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should boost possessions for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has made a mere 3.7 buckets per game this year, quite a bit less than his 5.3 rate last year.
Josh Hart has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The New York Knicks check in as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA away from home this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
On their home court, the Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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