Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Knicks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Hart has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 24.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 20.9 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).
Josh Hart will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually improves player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has attempted a measly 6.9 field goals per game this season, significantly less than his 10.5 rate last season.
Josh Hart has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile).
The New York Knicks have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year.
This matchup is a strong one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have tallied the 2nd-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (13.2).
The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year.

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