Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Knicks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 19.7 foul shots per game when the Heat are at home this year (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks check in as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; their opposition have averaged the 2nd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (13.2).
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Knicks.

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