Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 10:22 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a tough one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have tallied the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Lakers are playing at home (30.2).
The Lakers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
Playing at home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; when the Lakers are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 23.9 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).

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