Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

LA Clippers vs New York Knicks · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a tough one; when the Clippers are playing at home, they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (100.0).
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA while on the road this year.
The Clippers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.
The Clippers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a whopping 23.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the league).

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