Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Celtics is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team this year (103.9).
The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Celtics may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a mere 17.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.
With the home court advantage, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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