Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has attempted 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Josh Hart has averaged 32.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Jazz.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has shot and missed 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's missed in all games this season while playing at home.
Josh Hart has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Jazz have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games while playing on the road (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (13.5).