Josh Hart Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Assists

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +103 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has compiled 2.8 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's best by this metric over this stretch of games: 77th percentile.
The 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Knicks.
The Knicks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic).
The Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.3 more than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.
Josh Hart will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces stat production across the board.

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