Josh Hart Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Assists

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has averaged a measly 1.0 personal fouls per game this season, significantly lower than his 2.9 fouls per game last season.
The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).
Josh Hart should see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has averaged a lowly 2.6 assists per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 3.6 assists per game last season.
The least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.
The New York Knicks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

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