Josh Hart Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Knicks are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo road team in the league this year (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 14thbest in in the league while on their home court with 14.2 offensive boards per game this year.
When playing on the road, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has tallied a mere 2.5 assists per game this season, significantly less than his 3.6 assists per game last season.
Josh Hart has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 2.6 fouls per game last season.
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
Josh Hart will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance across the board.

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