Josh Hart Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Assists

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 12, 2023

Updated May 12, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-192/+146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -192.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has put up 3.7 assists per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
Josh Hart has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Knicks.
Josh Hart will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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