Josh Hart Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Assists

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 6, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has posted 3.7 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 84th percentile.
Josh Hart has averaged 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.
Josh Hart will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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