Josh Hart Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/2/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Assists

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · May 2, 2023

Updated May 2, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has tallied 3.7 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 82nd percentile.
Josh Hart has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (87th percentile).
The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

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