Josh Hart Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 16, 2023 2:36 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has averaged 3.9 assists per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
Josh Hart has tallied 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 86th percentile.
The New York Knicks have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.
Josh Hart will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player performance across the board.

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