Josh Hart Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+122/-159).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -159.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has put up 5.2 assists per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.8 more than he's put up over the course of the season on the road.
Josh Hart has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (86th percentile).
The Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA away from their home court this year.
Josh Hart will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases stat production across the board.

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