Josh Green Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 12:44 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has totaled 3.8 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's totaled overall this season.
Josh Green has played 33.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.8 more than he's played in all games this season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
This year, opposing teams have nabbed 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Josh Green has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance for all stats.

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