Josh Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2025

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 28, 2025

Updated Mar 29, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has converted 1.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from three in all games this season away from home.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Toronto Raptors are at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (15.6).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 6th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Josh Green has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 33.1% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Josh Green has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.7 fouls per game last year.
The Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The 7th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the league).
Josh Green will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production for all stats.

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