Josh Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The rate of three-pointers made against Andrew Wiggins has been very high (52.7%) when he is on his home court and facing opposing starting SFs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 9th-least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (4.2).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
The Hornets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup with Andrew Wiggins when it comes to getting to the free-throw line ranks in the 17th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting SFs attempting a mere 2.3 free throws per game this year.

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