Josh Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has converted 1.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made in all games this season away from his home court.
The 10th-quickest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased possessions for the Hornets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Josh Green has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 33.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 1.7 rate, Josh Green's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 2.5.
In terms of scoring, the Hornets's feeble 103.8 points per game comes in as the weakest in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a tough one for threes; opposing starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%).
Josh Green ought to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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