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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Green has successfully made 57.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 13.5% more than he's made in all games this year while playing at home.

Josh Green has converted 2.1 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's made from three over the course of the year while at home.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The 3rd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Josh Green will likely see an increase in output across the board considering having the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have scored 11.3 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the 76ers, making this a hard matchup for offensive performance.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Over the last 25 games, the other team has come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers (maintaining possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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