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Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Josh Green has converted 56.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 10.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.Josh Green has averaged 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 4.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.When it comes to shooting, the Mavericks's outstanding 122.2 points per game rates 3rd-highest in the league over the last 10 games.This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics, making this a positive matchup.The 4th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 2ndworst in in the league while playing away from home with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Celtics, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.Josh Green will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production for all stats.
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