Josh Green Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has successfully made 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
Josh Green has tallied 32.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 17.6% on three-pointers (15th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, making this a tough matchup.
The Mavericks rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Julian Champagnie is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; when squaring off against other starting SFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

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