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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic

 
 
 
Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Josh Green has successfully made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made overall this season.
  • Josh Green has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled 18.9 points per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive production.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 10.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
  • This year, their opposition has nabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Josh Green has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's been called for overall this season.
  • As it relates to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's subpar 45.1% field goal percentage while at home rates 7th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.
  • The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.
  • In comparison to last year's 70.6% clip, Josh Green's foul-shot proficiency has tailed off this year to 58.3%.

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