Josh Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 1:37 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has sunk 57.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 16.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's superb 126.8 points per game playing at home settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Mavericks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court, which should raise plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 9.7 field goal attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, designating this as a hard matchup.
Over the last 12 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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