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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.8).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).

The matchup against Memphis may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 4.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Memphis Grizzlies are on their home court (25th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Green has made a mere 34.3% of his field goals this year, a sizeable decrease from his 58.5 rate last year.

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Josh Green has successfully made a measly 33.3% of his free throw attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 65.0 rate last season.

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