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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Josh Green has successfully made a whopping 2.2 three-pointers per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.0 mark last season.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a difficult one for 3-point shots; their opposition has shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (31.8%).
  • The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pelicans).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Without the home court advantage, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (16.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Josh Green has successfully made a lowly 43.8% of his foul shot attempts this season, a sizeable decrease from his 70.6 rate last season.
  • Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team has attempted 22.9 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
  • Josh Green will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance across the board.

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