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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 11/3/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Green has made 36.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA.

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA on the road since the start of last season has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

This matchup is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted a mere 22.3 free throws per game when the Nuggets are the visiting squad since the start of last season (6th-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Green registers in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.6 fouls per game on his home court since the start of last season.

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with a mere 7.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Josh Green figures to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories due to playing away from hom in this game.

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