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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Josh Green registers in the 83rd percentile for field goal ability with a a superb 53.2% rate since the start of last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Green measures in the 79th percentile for 3-point prowess while playing at home with a a terrific 37.2% rate since the start of last season.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league as the home team since the start of last season when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

Away from their home court, the Chicago Bulls have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted just 22.3 foul shots per game when the Bulls are the visiting squad since the start of last season (7th-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Green has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point shots; opposing teams have totaled the 2nd-most three-point shots per game in the league since the start of last season (13.2).

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league since the start of last season.

The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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