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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Green has sunk 59.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 10.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing away from home.

Josh Green has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, 4.8 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season on the road.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Josh Green has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 23.2% higher than he's converted in all games this year on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Green has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (87th percentile).

This matchup is a positive one for threes; the other team have tallied the 2nd-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (13.2).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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