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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
  • The matchup against the Spurs is a strong one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.8).
  • The Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should increase possessions for the Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Josh Green has attempted 3.5 shots per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Josh Green has played 7.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -6.5 less than he's played overall this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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