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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Grizzlies are on the road, opposing starting SFs have shot for the 28th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (40.2%).

The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to boost plays for the Mavericks.

The matchup against Memphis may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 4.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad (21st-most in the NBA).

Josh Green will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to increases stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Green has attempted 3.4 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 20th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Josh Green has played 7.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -6.5 lower than he's played overall this season.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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