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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a positive one; when the 76ers are on the road, they have given up the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs since the start of last season (16.2).

The matchup vs. Tobias Harris is a strong one for shots from downtown; when Harris is playing on the road opposing starting SFs this year, they have made a whopping 37.4% of their three-point shots (76th percentile).

The matchup vs. the 76ers may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the league).

Josh Green will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Green has attempted 3.4 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile out of all players in the league.

Josh Green has tallied 7.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -6.5 lower than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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