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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 2/15/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Green has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made overall this year.

Josh Green has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.9 higher than he's played over the course of the season.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Mavericks.

Josh Green has successfully made an impressive 68.8% of his foul shot attempts this year, a big improvement over his 58.6 rate last year.

As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been terrific at drawing fouls: 2nd-best in the league this year, drawing 26.1 free throw attempts per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Green has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (86th percentile).

The matchup against Vlatko Cancar is a challenging one for field goal attempts; when defending opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 9.8 shots made from the field per game (4th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Vlatko Cancar is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when Cancar is at home and facing opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.7 foul shots per game (13th percentile).

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