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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Green has successfully made 6.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Josh Green has attempted 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Josh Green has averaged 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 11.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup vs. Keegan Murray is a favorable one for shots from the field; when defending fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a whopping 13.8 field goals per game (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Keegan Murray is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when Murray is on his home court and squaring off against fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.7 foul shots per game (20th percentile).

Josh Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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